1 | AUGUST 28 |
| Topic | Introduction and getting back in the classroom
This class will address the goals and expectations of the course, and, after a summer off,
review (perhaps for the first time) some of the fundamental aspects of the climate system that will
be most relevant to the topic of climate change. |
| Material | PPT |
|
2 | SEPTEMBER 4 |
| Topic | Agents of change
In this class, we'll examine the basic causal mechanisms of climate variability and change.
We'll start
by looking at natural causes, focusing mostly on the short-term, as well as anthropogenic causes.
At this stage we'll be looking mostly at large-scale modifiers; we'll focus more on local-scale
modification later on.
|
| Readings | Burroughs: Ch 1-3, 6-7 |
| Material | PPT |
|
3 | SEPTEMBER 11 |
| Topic | The climate to 1880
We'll begin this day by briefly looking at the methods by which we piece together past
climates, with a focus on the recent past. We'll then look at the period up until 1880, what the
climate record says, and what some of the documented impacts on past societies were.
|
| Readings | Burroughs: Ch 8.1-8.9, 4.4-4.8
Fagan, excerpt from "The Long Summer"
Lamb, "The impact of climatic developments on human affairs and human
Ruddiman, "How did humans first alter global climate?" |
| Material | PPT
Jessica and Stacy's PPT |
| Grad student leaders | Jessica Hark, Stacey Molnar |
| Assignment | Bring to class printed out 1/2 to 1 page on:
Compare similarities and differences between the human response to droughts over the past
millennium in the SW US and Mexico to the response to water shortages there today. |
|
4 | SEPTEMBER 18 |
| Topic | The climate since 1880
With the advent of modern technology, we have a lot more information about the more recent
climate, not only of land temperature and precipitation, but ocean temperatures, upper atmosphere
temperatures, sea ice, atmospheric composition, and much more. We will spend this class trying
to make sense of all the records and what they're telling us.
|
| Readings | Burroughs: Ch 8.10, 4.1-4.3
IPCC, "Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change"
|
| Material | PPT
Aaron's PPT |
| Grad student leader | Aaron Burkle |
| Assignment | Go to this website and look at the graphs
associated with all the temperatures in the 'official numbers' box. This
website has what I'll call 'ancillary commentary' that you shouldn't read too
much into. Nevertheless, it's the best near real-time site of its kind that I've
found. Look at the graphs and information provided, and bring to class printed out 1 page on observations/questions. In particular, I'd like you to look at
the scale used on the graphs, the difference in trends, and the relative
position of 2008 (so far). Note: These homework assignments should not be confused with the
response papers!
|
|
5 | SEPTEMBER 25 |
| Topic | Movie day
TBA
|
|
6 | OCTOBER 2 |
| Topic | Debate 1
"Has anthropogenic climate change already begun?"
|
| Material | Info sheet |
| Yes team | Grads: Jessica Hark, Cameron Lee
Undergrads: Joe Gnat, Jason Haley, Heather Misutka, Ryan Shackelford, Justin Walters
|
| No team | Grads: Stacey Molnar, Michele Zils, Mike Allen
Undergrads: Jeff Hastwell, Megan Kerns, Desiree Oscarsson, Lauren Walker
|
|
7 | OCTOBER 9 |
| Topic | Abrupt climate change
It's only in the past decade or so that the concept of an 'abrupt' or non-linear climate
change has been taken seriously. We'll look at abrupt changes in the past, and potential
triggers of future abrupt changes.
|
| Readings |
Weart, "The discovery of rapid climate change"
Arnell, "Global impacts of abrupt climate change: an initial assessment"
Overpeck and Cole, "Abrupt change in earth's climate system"
Broecker- "Abrupt climate change revisited"
|
| Material | PPT
Mike's PPT |
| Assignment | After reading the assigned readings for the week, write up 1 page defining the word 'abrupt' in the context that
it is used in terms of climate change. |
| Grad student leader | Mike Allen |
|
8 | OCTOBER 16 |
| Topic | Local climate change
Sometimes lost within the whole topic of climate change is the local scale; everyone has heard of the
urban heat island but local change goes way beyond that, including effects of irrigation, deforestation,
and other land use changes. We'll explore these and their effects on the local and regional scales.
|
| Readings |
Bonan et al., "Land Use and Climate"
Malhi et al., "Climate change, deforestation, and the fate of the Amazon"
Mahmood et al., "Modification of growing-season surface temperature
records in the northern Great Plains due to land-use transformation"
Rizwan et al., "A review on the generation, determination, and mitigation of Urban Heat Island"
Note that Rizwan's article replaces the original assignment of Yow,
which I could not obtain in time for this course.
|
| Material | PPT |
| Assignment | One page on the basic differences
on how we view effects of urbanization on the climate system, with how we view
land use changes on the climate system. (I'm deliberately being vague here
with the term 'climate system.')
|
| Grad student leader | Cameron Lee |
|
9 | OCTOBER 23 |
| Topic | Climate modeling
One of the keys in understanding climate predictions for the future is understanding general circulation
models, and what they do well, what they do less well, and what they cannot do. We'll also discuss how
future projections are made, including the IPCC "scenarios", and the general consensus of future climate
predictions.
|
| Readings | Burroughs (Ch 10,11) Pittock (Ch 3)
|
| Material | |
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10 | OCTOBER 30 |
| Topic | Adaptation and mitigation options
The response to potential climate change has tended to oscillate between adapting and mitigating, although
much more recently focus has shifted to accomodate both of these concepts. We'll discuss what both adaptation
and mitigation mean, and the potential options.
|
| Readings | Pittock (Ch 7, 8)
Fuessel and Klein, "Climate change vulnerability assessments: an evolution of conceptual thinking"
Cox and Stephenson, "A changing climate for prediction"
Dessai et al., "Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation?"
Tol, "Adaptation and mitigation: trade-offs in substance and methods"
Canadell and Raupach, "Managing forests for climate change mitigation"
|
| Material | |
| Grad student leaders | Stacey Yanetta, Beverly Coon |
|
11 | NOVEMBER 6 |
| Topic | Policy considerations
This class period could easily be a course in its own right. We'll tackle the history of the climate
change 'regime', international and domestic politics, and try to make sense of the current state of
negotiations and treaties as they presently stand.
|
| Readings | Pittock (Ch 10, 11)
UNFCCC website
Aldy and Stavins, "Climate policy architectures for the post-Kyoto world"
Stern, "Key elements of a global deal on climate change"
Selin and Vandeveer, "Political science and prediction: what's next
for US climate change policy?"
ADD
|
| Material | |
| Grad student leaders | Eric Bilen, Michele Zils |
|
12 | NOVEMBER 13 |
| Topic | Debate 2
"Should the United States implement a greenhouse-gas cap-and-trade system?"
|
| Material | Info sheet |
| Yes team | Grads: Stacey Yanetta, Beverly Coon
Undergrads: Jennifer Burrell, Brad Hay, Peter Moorhouse, Brandon Roach, Chris Vasco
|
| No team | Grads: Aaron Burkle, Eric Bilen
Undergrads: Jennifer Edwards, Anne Lucas, Jonathan Owens, Jared Schaffer
|
|
13 | NOVEMBER 20 |
| Topic | Impacts 1
Topics TBA
|
| Readings | None
|
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14 | DECEMBER 4 |
| Topic | Impacts 2
Topics TBA
|
| Readings | TBA
|
|
- | DECEMBER 11 |
| Topic | Final exam is due
|
| Material | will be here
|